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September, 2007 Archives | Homepage

Gold Soars to 27-Year High

Gold Gold prices are climbing as the dollar falls. The Financial Times reports that Gold prices climbed to $752.80 an ounce - the highest price for gold since January 1980.
The dollar hit a record low against major currencies and gold reached a 27-year high on Friday as investors ignored data suggesting that inflation moderated last month.

Analysts said the prospect of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and stronger growth outside the US was weighing on the dollar and boosting commodities.

"The Fed's rate cuts have a specific driver - growth risks for the US economy," said Naomi Fink, senior currency strategist at BNP Paribas.
A USA Today article about today's new gold record has a chart that shows how investors have been seeking shelter in gold over the past two months.

Posted on September 29, 2007
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Campbell Soup Co. Puts Godiva on the Block

Campbell's GodivaReuters is reporting that Campbell Soup Co. is putting Godiva Chocolatier on the block saying that it no longer fits with Campbell's portfolio.
Analyst Mitch Pinheiro, who follows the company for Janney Montgomery Scott, said the company would need to get around $900 million for Godiva to avoid diluting earnings.

Pinheiro said Campbell has resisted selling Godiva in the past partly because there was no place to reinvest the money that would equal profits generated by the chocolate company.

He said that has changed. The company could put money toward its planned entry into the soup business in mainland China and Russia and into expanding manufacturing capacity for its increasingly popular V8 juices -- and do it without taking on additional debt.

"I think the fact that the company's putting Godiva up for sale signals that Campbell Soup has strong growth opportunities in its core portfolio," Pinheiro said.
BusinessWeek has an article that looks at the high-end chocolate industry. The article says costs and profits are up for the chocolate industry but that Godiva is also facing new competitors. The article also says Godiva is a strong luxury chocolate brand with $500 million in annual sales. Godiva is expected to sell for around $1 billion. More coverage at Money Morning, FoodProcessing.com and Confectionery News.

Posted on September 27, 2007
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Dubai Buying 20% Share in Nasdaq

Nasdaq DubaiTheStreet.com reports that Borse Dubai has acquired a 20% stake in the Nasdaq stock exchange. The deal also gave Dubai a 28% stake in the London Stock Exchange.
Nasdaq reached a deal with Borse Dubai that will give Nasdaq control of the OMX stock exchange while giving the Dubai stock exchange a 20% stake in Nasdaq.

Under the deal, Nasdaq sold its 28% stake in the London Stock Exchange to Borse Dubai as well. Nasdaq said the moves "will provide us with a footprint unlike any other exchange."

Meanwhile, Qatar's state investment fund bought a 20% stake in the LSE, possibly presaging a struggle for control of that exchange with the Dubai exchange. Qatar said it wouldn't make a full bid for the LSE but reserves its right to do so..
The fact that two of the 9/11 hijackers came from the United Arab Emirates has raised concerns but the Bush Administration doesn't seem too interested in stopping it. You might recall the UAE ports deal that President Bush seemed determined to let happen. It sounds like there will at least be a review of the Nasdaq-Dubai deal.

The International Herald Tribune has more on the recent Nasdaq and London exchange deals. Here's a Reuters video report on the Dubai-Nasdaq news.


Direct video link


Posted on September 24, 2007
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Greenspan Says Euro Could Replace Dollar as Reserve Currency

EuroThe Associated Press reports that former Fed Chairman Alan Greenpsan has warned that euro could replace the U.S. dollar as the reserve currency of choice.
The euro has been soaring against the U.S. currency in recent weeks, hitting all-time high of $1.3927 last week as the dollar has fallen on turbulent market conditions stemming from the ongoing U.S. subprime crisis. The Fed meets this week and is expected to lower its benchmark interest rate from the current 5.25 percent.

Greenspan said that at the end of 2006, some 25 percent of all currency reserves held by central banks were held in euros, compared to 66 percent for the U.S. dollar.

In terms of being used as a payment for cross-border transactions, the euro is trailing the dollar only slightly with 39 percent to 43 percent.
The U.S. dollar has been falling against the euro, British Pound, Canadian Dollar and other currencies during the Bush administration. A few good resources to find exchange rate data are x-rates.com, Bloomberg and XE.com. If you search Google for Euro you will also receive current information about the value of the euro compared to the U.S. dollar.

Google Euro Search


Posted on September 17, 2007
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Greenspan Book Slams Bush and Praises Clinton

Alan Greenspan Age of TurbulenceAlan Greenspan's book The Age of Turbulence is now in stores and it is generating a lot of coverage because of Greenspan's tough words for the Bush administration's fiscal policies and continual overspending. The Washington Post reports that in the book Greenspan slams President George Bush.
But he expresses deep disappointment with Bush. "My biggest frustration remained the president's unwillingness to wield his veto against out-of-control spending," Greenspan writes. "Not exercising the veto power became a hallmark of the Bush presidency. . . . To my mind, Bush's collaborate-don't-confront approach was a major mistake."

Greenspan accuses the Republicans who presided over the party's majority in the House until last year of being too eager to tolerate excessive federal spending in exchange for political opportunity. The Republicans, he says, deserved to lose control of the Senate and House in last year's elections. "The Republicans in Congress lost their way," Greenspan writes. "They swapped principle for power. They ended up with neither."

He singles out J. Dennis Hastert, the Illinois Republican who was House speaker until January, and Tom DeLay, the Texan who was majority leader until he resigned after being indicted for violating campaign finance laws in his home state.

"House Speaker Hastert and House majority leader Tom DeLay seemed readily inclined to loosen the federal purse strings any time it might help add a few more seats to the Republican majority," he writes.

He adds three pages later: "I don't think the Democrats won. It was the Republicans who lost. The Democrats came to power in the Congress because they were the only party left standing."
In the book Greenspan also praises President Clinton. Greenspan compliments Clinton on his factual approach and his desire to learn everything about financial matters.
However, he calls Clinton a "risk taker" who had shown a "preference for dealing in facts," and presents Clinton and himself almost as soul mates. "Here was a fellow information hound. . . . We both read books and were curious and thoughtful about the world. . . . I never ceased to be surprised by his fascination with economic detail: the effect of Canadian lumber on housing prices and inflation. . . . He had an eye for the big picture too."

During Clinton's first weeks as president, Greenspan went to the Oval Office and explained the danger of not confronting the federal deficit. Unless the deficits were cut, there could be "a financial crisis," Greenspan told the president. "The hard truth was that Reagan had borrowed from Clinton, and Clinton was having to pay it back. I was impressed that he did not seem to be trying to fudge reality to the extent politicians ordinarily do. He was forcing himself to live in the real world."

Dealing with a budget surplus in his second term, Clinton proposed devoting the extra money to "save Social Security first." Greenspan writes, "I played no role in finding the answer, but I had to admire the one Clinton and his policymakers came up with."

Greenspan interviewed Clinton for the book and clearly admires him. "President Clinton's old-fashioned attitude toward debt might have had a more lasting effect on the nation's priorities. Instead, his influence was diluted by the uproar about Monica Lewinsky." When he first heard and read details of the Clinton-Lewinsky encounters, Greenspan writes, "I was incredulous. 'There is no way these stories could be correct,' I told my friends. 'No way.' " Later, when it was verified, Greenspan says, "I wondered how the president could take such a risk. It seemed so alien to the Bill Clinton I knew, and made me feel disappointed and sad."
Other articles discussing Greenspan's splam of President George Bush can be found here, here, here and here. The Wall Street Journal also has an article about Greenspan's book that also says his book is tough on Bush and the GOP.

Posted on September 15, 2007
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