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Piper Jaffray Analyst Gene Munster Thinks Apple, Inc. Growth is Sustainable

Apple Inc.'s third-quarter was up 78% ($3.51 a share). Apple's iPhone is facing growing compeition from Android phones. The company's recently launched iPad is also expected to face growing competition from a number of different tables that rival tech firms will launch in time for the holiday shopping season. Despite this Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster sill expects Apple's growth to be sustainable. Gene Munster says they estimate Apple will do $75 billion in revenue next year. He thinks there is a lot of room for Apple to grow still in the phone and computer markets. You can watch Bloomberg's video interview with Gene Munster here.

Posted on July 21, 2010
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Apple Shares Rise Following Steve Jobs Health Announcement

Apple LogoApple CEO Steve Jobs finally addressed concerns yesterday about his obvious weight loss. Word that Jobs would not giving the keynote at Macworld raised concern that the Apple CEO was in ill health. Jobs wrote a letter explaining that his weight loss has to do with a hormone imbalance. Steve Jobs said he will remain CEO during his recovery. A letter from Apple's Board followed saying that they support Steve Jobs. Investors took the news in a positive way. Apple shares traded up over 4% on the day and closed at 94.58. You can see a stock chart here.

Posted on January 6, 2009
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Best Buy Cuts Profit Outlook

A warning from Best Buy has renewed concerns about the economy. Best Buy CEO Brad Anderson says this is "the most difficult climate" ever seen by the company. The only good news behind that is it could mean consumers will be treated to big discounts this holiday reports the AP.
"Rapid, seismic changes in consumer behavior have created the most difficult climate we've ever seen," Chief Executive Brad Anderson said in a statement. "Best Buy simply can't adjust fast enough to maintain our earnings momentum for this year."

But Best Buy's misfortunes may spell opportunity for deal-seeking shoppers, especially during the traditional Black Friday shopping extravaganza on the day after Thanksgiving.

Morningstar analyst Brady Lemos said he expects Best Buy to offer deep discounts on products to try to drive sales and keep customers coming into stores.

"It's big news for consumers," he said. "I think they'll want to sell as much as possible."


Posted on November 13, 2008
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Microsoft Makes $44.6 Billion Offer to Buy Yahoo

Microsoft YahooMicrosoft has made a surprise $44.6 billion offer to buy Yahoo at $31 per share share.

Yahoo issued a statement saying they would consider the offer. Yahoo said that its board "will evaluate this proposal carefully and promptly, in the context of Yahoo's strategic plans, and pursue the best course of action to maximize long-term value for shareholders."

Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer said they could help Yahoo compete: "We have great respect for Yahoo, and together, we can offer an increasingly exciting set of solutions for consumers, publishers, and advertisers while becoming better positioned to compete in the online-services market,"

Yahoo recently laid off over 1,000 employees. They are a great company with numerous online products including several recently purchased social media sites like Blo.gs and del.icio.us. They also have a significant media side with original content and acquisitions like Rivals.com. It will be interesting to see whether Microsoft can convince Yahoo shareolders that this is the best option for them or whether Yahoo shareholders believe the company can do better by staying independent.

Yahoo's shares (YHOO) are up over 44% on news of the deal reports Marketwatch.

Google shares are down significantly on the news because of concerns that a Microsoft-Yahoo merger could threaten Google's search and online advertising dominance.
Microsoft views Yahoo as its best chance to thwart Google, which has leveraged its leadership in Internet search and advertising to emerge as an increasingly serious threat to the world's largest software maker's persuasive influence on how people interact with computers.

Google already controls nearly 60 percent of the U.S. search market, and has been widening its lead, despite concerted efforts by both second-place Yahoo and third-place Microsoft. By combining, Microsoft and Yahoo would have a 33 percent share of the U.S. search market, according to the latest data from comScore Media Metrix.

By joining forces, Microsoft and Yahoo also would widen their narrowing advantage over Google in providing free e-mail accounts -- a service that helps foster more loyalty with users and create more advertising opportunities.
Google shares (GOOG) are down 9% on the news in early trading today.

Posted on February 1, 2008
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Apple Takes a Drubbing

Apple Stock DropApple (AAPL) has been taking a beating on Wall Street today. The stock is down over 10%. The reason isn't the company's holiday performance but the possibility of a weaker future. Forbes is asking if one bad Apple could spoil the bunch - meaning could Apple weakness spill over into other tech stocks. It's hard to see gadgets having as good a year this year as they did last year if we are heading into a recession.
To some extent, it's a case of one bad Apple (AAPL) spoiling the bunch. Steve Jobs & Co. is seen as the most innovative, growth-producing group in tech. And if the U.S. consumer's economic troubles are starting to rattle mighty Apple, high fliers like Research In Motion (RIMM) and Google (GOOG) might not be immune, either.

Indeed, Apple's holiday performance showed signs that the company's not unstoppable in 2008. In particular, Apple's cautious outlook, weakness in U.S. iPod growth and the unpredictability of iPhone sales left Wall Street's pessimists plenty of reason to doubt. And in this jittery market, those pessimists have a lot of power.

First, a recap of Apple's good news - and there was plenty of it. Apple turned in revenue of $9.6 billion and profit of $1.6 billion for the holiday quarter, blowing past the average analyst estimate. The company shipped a record 2.3 million Intel (INTC)-based Macs during the period, and actually sold as many iPhones as computers. In the process Apple generated $2.7 billion in cash, bringing its war chest to $18.4 billion.

But there was troubling news, too. On the conference call with analysts, Chief Financial Officer Peter Oppenheimer admitted that iPod sales merely met the company's expectations, rather than exceeding them. Part of the reason, he said, was that U.S. iPod sales weakened in December - it took overseas sales to make up the difference. "In the U.S., in the gift-buying season, we saw a slightly different curve," he said. "That was made up for in our very, very good growth internationally."
Apple did have a great holiday quarter but what will happen to Apple in the first three quarters of this year with consumers fighting off a recession and rising prices? That's the question investors are asking about Apple and many other gadget manufacturers. There are also concerns that if people already have any iPod will they might not be as excited about owning the latest and greatest iPod - especially if things get tight.

Posted on January 23, 2008
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Tough Day for the Nasdaq

The stock market has been having a tough time moving in the right direct. This is especially true for the tech-laden Nasdaq. Today, the Nasdaq dropped 43 points, or 1.7%, to 2,584. Reuters reports on the Nasdaq's woes in this video clip.


Direct video link


Posted on November 12, 2007
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How High Will Google Go?

Google $600Google, which trades on the Nasdaq as GOOG, is getting close to the $600 mark. The stock has been on an incredible ride since it started trading at $85 in 2004.
Google, which began trading at $85 in 2004, has the sixth- highest stock price in the U.S. and has surged 27 percent this year. The shares rose $1.84 to $584.39 at 4 p.m. New York time on the Nasdaq Stock Market and earlier reached $596.81.

The search engine has taken users from Yahoo! Inc. and Microsoft Corp., pushing sales growth to at least 70 percent in each of the past three years. Google plans to lure more Web surfers and advertisers through the YouTube video site, bought last year, and has introduced software to sell mobile ads.

"Google is still dominating," Piper Jaffray & Co. Web analysts including Gene Munster said in an Oct. 1 report.

Munster, in Minneapolis, rates the stock "outperform" and estimates it will reach $660 within a year as Google parlays its lead in search into other areas of online advertising next year.
Google may very well break the $600 mark and even $650 but how much upside can be left for this powerful technology firm? Henry Blodget has suggested GOOG could trade as high as $2,000
Remember a couple years back when some analyst floated the idea that Google could eventually be worth $2,000 a share--and was ridiculed from coast to coast? Well, first it's worth noting that Google is now almost a third of the way there. Second, it's worth noting that $2,000 a share would mean a market cap of about $750 billion, which--given a reasonable time horizon--just isn't that far-fetched.

Why? First, from a macro level, in every technology wave, the market leader usually ends up amassing more power, wealth, and market capitalization than the leaders in the prior wave, often by a startling magnitude. The leaders in the last technology wave included Microsoft and Cisco, both of which peaked around $500 billion in market capitalization...
Blodget's remark has stirred up controversy among tech and financial bloggers - see here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here and here. You can check the latest GOOG quote here on Yahoo Finance.

Posted on October 3, 2007
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Dubai Buying 20% Share in Nasdaq

Nasdaq DubaiTheStreet.com reports that Borse Dubai has acquired a 20% stake in the Nasdaq stock exchange. The deal also gave Dubai a 28% stake in the London Stock Exchange.
Nasdaq reached a deal with Borse Dubai that will give Nasdaq control of the OMX stock exchange while giving the Dubai stock exchange a 20% stake in Nasdaq.

Under the deal, Nasdaq sold its 28% stake in the London Stock Exchange to Borse Dubai as well. Nasdaq said the moves "will provide us with a footprint unlike any other exchange."

Meanwhile, Qatar's state investment fund bought a 20% stake in the LSE, possibly presaging a struggle for control of that exchange with the Dubai exchange. Qatar said it wouldn't make a full bid for the LSE but reserves its right to do so..
The fact that two of the 9/11 hijackers came from the United Arab Emirates has raised concerns but the Bush Administration doesn't seem too interested in stopping it. You might recall the UAE ports deal that President Bush seemed determined to let happen. It sounds like there will at least be a review of the Nasdaq-Dubai deal.

The International Herald Tribune has more on the recent Nasdaq and London exchange deals. Here's a Reuters video report on the Dubai-Nasdaq news.


Direct video link


Posted on September 24, 2007
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Ebay Pursues Web Classified Marketshare With Kijiji

KijijiEbay recently launched an online classifieds service called Kijiji. Kijiji is billed as a local free web classified service. CNET's News.com reports that eBay has one advantage over the popular Craigslist web classified service in that they have an inside view into Craigslist because they own 25% of the company.
The auctioneer is up against an Internet icon in the privately held Craigslist. The 21-employee company operates on a shoestring budget, is well-entrenched in every major U.S. city and founder Craig Newmark is beloved by users for his reluctance to commercialize the site.

But eBay enjoys an unusual advantage. For three years, executives at eBay have been allowed to peer deep into Craigslist's operations. Since 2004, the year eBay bought a 25 percent stake in the San Francisco-based Craigslist from a former employee, the auction site has held a seat on the company's board of directors.

Newmark, Craigslist CEO Jim Buckmaster and eBay founder Pierre Omidyar once made up the three-person board. Another eBay representative has replaced Omidyar, according to Durzy.

"We've learned a lot from Craigslist," Durzy said. "We think this market has room for several classified services."
It must be pretty awkward for Craigslist with eBay having such a large stake in the company and now also having Kijiji. Tech bloggers are heavily covering this story. You can find much more discussion of eBay's Kijiji site here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here and here.

Posted on July 15, 2007
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Apple Boosted by Strong iPhone Sales

Reuters reports that Apple shares climbed over 3% on Thursday as investors were excited by the possibility of extremely strong iPhone sales.
"The stock is obviously anticipating very very strong sales for the iPhone and very good follow-through sales," said Andy Hargreaves of Pacific Crest Securities. "The stock isn't going to be a one-month wonder."

Apple has said it will start selling iPhones in Europe this year and in Asia in 2008, but gave no further details.

European media reports this week have said Apple may be close to deals with carriers in France, Germany and Britain, a three-country strategy that would mimic the launch of its popular iTunes online music store in Europe in 2004.

Apple shares have increased more than 50 percent since the company unveiled in January the cell phone that combines Web browsing with the music and video playing capabilities of its best-selling iPod device.
500,000 iPhones had already been sold on the launch weekend after geeks waited in long lines to own the gadget. Apple also seems to be keeping up with demand. One sign of this is the fact that eBay sellers have been somewhat frustrated and have been unable to sell iPhones for much more than the retail price. That should be good news for Apple. You want a hot gadget that everyone wants but you also want to keep the supply strong enough that everyone who wants one can buy it.

Posted on July 5, 2007
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Yahoo CEO Terry Semel Resigns. Co-Founder Jerry Yang Named New CEO

YahooYahoo CEO Terry Semel has resigned. Taking his place will be Jerry Yang, one of the co-founders of Yahoo, Inc. The announcement was made in a press release.
Terry Semel said, "The Board and I have long talked about the importance of ensuring a smooth succession in Yahoo!'s senior leadership - and more recently, about the need for a leadership team committed to carrying Yahoo! through its multi-year transformation. As we discussed my future goals and plans, I was clear in telling the Board of my desire to take a step back sooner rather than later. I believe Jerry and Sue, with their superb talents and intense dedication to Yahoo! and its people, are the perfect combination to carry us forward. This is the time for new executive leadership, with different skills and strengths, to step in and drive the company to realize its full potential - it is the right thing to do, and the right time is now."

Semel continued, "Jerry and Sue will make an unbeatable team. Jerry has long been recognized as an Internet visionary. His incredible experience and close involvement since founding the company 12 years ago have given him tremendous strategic, technical and industry insight as well as unparalleled knowledge and understanding of Yahoo! and its great potential. We are equally fortunate to have Sue Decker, one of the most talented executives in the industry, as our new President. Sue has played a broad and important role in driving our strategy over the years, and has shown even greater skills and leadership with the success she's had in taking on more operating responsibilities. Both Jerry and Sue have been great partners to me and I am looking forward to collaborating with and supporting them both, as well as the Board, in any way that I can as Chairman. I'm proud of all that we've accomplished over the past six years during this exciting, still early stage of the Internet's development, and my single goal is to ensure that Yahoo! achieves its full potential."
Shares of Yahoo jumped on the news that Semel is stepping down as CEO. The WSJ's Deal Journal blog said (hat tip Epicenter) Yahoo will remain independent. They quote now acting CEO Yang who said, "We believe Yahoo can be a vibrant independent company."

Posted on June 20, 2007
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Internet Tax Freedom Act Expires in November

The Internet Tax Freedom Act, which bans texas on web access, is set to expire on November, 2007. The act was signed into law on October 21, 1998 by President Bill Clinton. Reuters reports that groups like Don't Tax Our Web want the ban on web access taxes made permanent. There is concern that taxes could slow down the web's continued growth and development. Reuter's reporter Manoush Zomorodi discusses the implications of the approaching expiration of the Internet Tax Freedom Act in the video below. The most likely result is that the Internet Tax Freedom Act will simply be extended for several more years but there are lawmakers like Senator Ron Wyden who are fighting for a permmanent ban.


Direct video link


Posted on May 27, 2007
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CompUSA Closing 100 Stores

CompUSA is closing 100 of its 229 stores following a comprehensive reconstructuring. Consumerist says that competition from retailers like Best Buy, Wal-Mart, Circuit City as well as online retailers has made life difficult for CompUSA.
News of the shuttering comes after recent corporate restructuring, and a swirl of rumors in recent weeks about the ailing retailer. One was that CompUSA might get a $400 million-plus infusion from Mr. Carlos Slim, Mexican billionaire chain owner. Another one posited that the retailer might buy, or be bought by, Tiger Direct.

Hammered by competition from Best Buy, Wal-Mart, Circuit City, and internet retailers, and burdened by over $100 million in unsalesable store inventory, Mr. Slim evidently thinks CompUSA's chances at recovery too narrow.
You can see a list of the closed stores here on the CompUSA website. More coverage of the store closings can be found at Ars Technica. Gizmodo says 128 stores are closing not 100.

Posted on April 3, 2007
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SEC Launches Operation Spamalot

The Securities and Exchange Commission has suspended trading in the securities of 35 companies that have been the subject of recent and repeated spam email campaigns. The trading suspensions are part of a stepped-up SEC effort that is code named Operation Spamalot. The goal of Operation Spamalot is to protect investors from potentially fraudulent spam emails that hype small company stocks with phrases like, "Ready to Explode," "Ride the Bull," and "Fast Money." The SEC estimates that 100 million of these spam messages are sent every week. These spam emails can trigger spikes in trading volume and share price that causes investors to lose money.

"When spam clogs our mailboxes, it's annoying. When it rips off investors, it's illegal and destructive," said SEC Chairman Christopher Cox. "Today's trading suspensions, and actions that will follow, should send a clear message to spammers: the SEC will hold you accountable."

The SEC provided these three examples of how the spam emails can increase volume and alter share prices.
  • On Friday, Dec. 15, 2006, shares in Apparel Manufacturing Associates, Inc. (APPM) closed at $.06, with a trading volume of 3,500 shares. After a weekend spam campaign distributed emails proclaiming, "Huge news expected out on APPM, get in before the wire, We're taking it all the way to $1.00," trading volume on Monday, Dec. 18, 2006, hit 484,568 shares with the price spiking to over 19 cents a share. Two days later the price climbed to $.45. By Dec. 27, 2006, the price was back down to $.10 on trading volume of 65,350 shares.
  • On Dec. 19, 2006, trading in Goldmark Industries, Inc. (GDKI), closed at $.17 on trading volume of 126,286 shares. On Dec. 20, 2006, the spam campaign started, with e-mail proclaiming "GDKI IS MAKING EVERYONE BANK!," and setting a 5-day price target of $2. By Dec. 28, 2006, spam emails boasted of the price spike that had already been achieved -- "$.28 (Up 152% in 2 days!!!)" -- and promised a 5-day price target of $1. That same day, GDKI closed at $.35 on a volume of more than 5 million shares. By January 9, 2007, the closing share price was back down to $.15.
  • A spam campaign in Healtheuniverse, Inc. (HLUN) stock began on Sept. 4, 2006, with emails incorporating a Healtheuniverse press release proclaiming that HLUN was "focused on being the first to commercialize stem cell applications in the $15 billion worldwide plastic surgery and cosmetic surgery market." On Sept. 7, 2006, HLUN closed at $.12 per share on trading volume of 3,000 shares. The spam campaign accelerated, and HLUN shares spiked to $.22 per share on Sept. 11, 2006, with over 2.2 million shares trading hands. By Sept. 22, 2006, the closing price had dropped back down to $.11.
  • Symantec, a provider of anti-virus software, has some more information about Operation Spamalot here. You can also read the SEC's news release about Operation Spamalot.

    Posted on March 9, 2007
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    Another Round of Tech IPO Mania?

    Could the tech bubble be ready for a big spike with waves of new tech IPOs and hysteria? A new Business 2.0 article (via BloggersBlog.com) is ready for champagne corks to be popped again by tech company executives and venture capitalists.

    Business 2.0 even has an image gallery featuring six IPOs on deck. They include Art.com, MetroPCS, NetSuite, Postini, Tellme Networks and Zappos. Before you get too excited about the prospect of numerous tech IPOs a ZDNet blog post warns that Business 2.0's math may be incorrect.

    Posted on February 21, 2007
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    Motorola Announces Major Layoffs

    USA Today reports that Motorola has announced that it will lay off 3,500 employees. The news follows a fourth quarter that showed profits down 48%. Stocks jumped after the announcement.
    Zander, speaking to analysts at a meeting in New York, said the move will save the company about $400 million over two years. The cuts from Motorola's workforce of about 70,000 are to be spread across the company globally and completed in the first half of 2007.

    The world's No. 2 handset manufacturer also said it will beat Wall Street estimates for 2007 sales by as much as $3 billion, forecasting a full-year total of $46 billion to $49 billion. Analysts had predicted sales of $45.9 billion.

    The announcements sent Motorola's stock surging despite a fourth-quarter earnings report that showed profits down 48% from a year earlier on a stumble in operating results from its handset business.

    The announcement came after the world's No. 2 handset manufacturer reported that fourth-quarter profit fell 48% despite record sales as operating results stumbled during the key holiday selling season.
    The article also says that Motorola's CEO Ed Zander believes there is still strong demand for the company's Razr brand. Motorola has sold 75 million Razrs so far worldwide.

    Posted on February 1, 2007
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    The Story of Gizmondo

    GizmondoHave you ever heard of the Gizmondo, the handheld do-it-all device from Tiger Telematics that had a big buzz behind it in 2005? If you haven't heard of it that is because the Gizmondo handheld hype turned into a disaster. GameSetWatch has written a detailed 10,000 word article on the Gizmondo disaster story that peaked with the infamous Ferrari Enzo car crash.
    So, here's the first of the GameSetWatch 'holiday special' articles, and it's a kinda interesting one. The first thing to note is that it's out of date - it was originally written in January 2005, and never published. And, well, it's an investigative article written by me about Gizmondo, the now-famed Ferrari-crashing, money-squandering handheld company.

    But because it goes into unprecedented detail about the financial history of the company, I think it's worth publishing. In fact, it goes into somewhat ridiculous, almost 10,000-word long detail, which is one of the reasons that it was never published. But let's give you some context here - when in Gizmondo's history was this published, and why didn't it make it out at the time?
    Even if you are not into gaming this is still a classic business meltdown story.

    Posted on January 17, 2007
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